| Did you know that Mozart died of old age!
You can determine Mozart's life curve with the software package
below. You can also pinpoint the period in Mozart's life when he
could have launched a second career and thus insure a second lease
on his life. Mozart made such an attempt with the Dissonant Quartet
in C Major, K 465, in 1785 (see discussion in Conquering
Uncertainty). But music lovers of that time could not appreciate
what became acceptable only one hundred years later (e.g., Bartok),
and Mozart had to stop exploring musical directions that provoked
public rejection.
In a similar way you can determine the life cycle and remaining
growth potential of your product as well as the optimum time to
launch the follow-up product. With the demo below you can evaluate
and practice the technique on the historical data of a very successful
minicomputer model.
You can download
this demo software package for free.
This will only take a few minutes (932 kb). It is a self-exctracting
file. If you double-click on it, it will create 3 files. To run
the program double-click on the file called Scurve.exe.
(Best viewed with screen resolution 800x600 or less).
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