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Articles

Much of the research work at GROWTH DYNAMICS has been published in international journals. Below is a selection of the most representative articles.

La Borsa come ecosistema, V. Almeida, Ticino Management, Giugno, 2014, (reproduced entirely here).

Long-Term GDP Forecasts and the Prospects for Growth, T. Modis, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 80, (2013) 1557-1562, (reproduced entirely here).

Why the Singularity Cannot Happen, T. Modis, Singularity Hypotheses, A. H. Eden et al. (eds.), The Frontiers Collection, Springer-Verlag, Berlin Heidelberg, (2012), pp 311-339, (reproduced entirely here).

Theodore Modis on Chaisson's "A Singular Universe of Many Singularities: Cultural Evolution in a Cosmic Context", T. Modis, Singularity Hypotheses, A. H. Eden et al. (eds.), The Frontiers Collection, Springer-Verlag, Berlin Heidelberg, (2012), p 441, (reproduced entirely here).

Insights on Competition from a Science-Based Analysis, T. Modis, Advances in Psychology Research, Volume 88, Alexandra M. Columbus (ed.), Nova Publishers, New York, (2012), (reproduced entirely here).

US Nobel Laureates: Logistic Growth versus Volterra-Lotka, T. Modis, Technological Forecasting & Social Change 78 (2011) 559–564, (reproduced entirely here).

On Niall Ferguson's "Complexity and Collapse", T. Modis, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 77, (2010) 1412-1422, (reproduced entirely here).

Anticipating the Economic Turnaround with S-Curves, T. Modis, written and translated into German for Vienna's Die Presse, (reproduced entirely here; for the German version click here).

Where Has the Energy Picture Gone Wrong?, T. Modis, World Future Review, 1, No 3, June-July 2009 (reproduced entirely here).

Sunspots, GDP, and the Stock Market, T. Modis, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 74, (2007) 1508-1514, (reproduced entirely here).

Strengths and Weaknesses of S-Curves, T. Modis, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 74, No 6, 2007, (reproduced entirely here).

The Normal, the Natural, and the Harmonic, T. Modis, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 74, No 3, 2007, (reproduced entirely here).

The Singularity Myth, T. Modis, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 73, No 2, 2006, (reproduced entirely here).

The End of the Internet Rush, T. Modis, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 72, No 8, 2005, (reproduced entirely here).

Urban guerrilla activities in Greece, by A. Konstandopoulos and T. Modis, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 72, No 1, 2005, (reproduced entirely here, scan PDF 322 Kb).

Discussion of Huebner Article, by T. Modis, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 72, No 8, 2005, (reproduced entirely here, scan PDF 59 Kb).

The Limits of Complexity and Change, by T. Modis, The Futurist, May-June, 2003, (reproduced entirely here, scan PDF 1130 Kb).

A Scientific Approach to Managing Competition, by T. Modis, The Industrial Physicist, February/March, 2003, (reproduced entirely here, scan PDF 91Kb).

Forecasting the Growth of Complexity and Change, by T. Modis, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 69, No 4, 2002, (reproduced entirely here).

Technological Forecasting at the Stock Market, by T. Modis, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 62, No 3, 1999, (reproduced entirely here).

Complexity and Competition at the Stock Market, by T. Modis, Proceedings of the 5th International Conference of the Decision Sciences Institute, 4-7 July 1999, Athens, Greece (reproduced entirely here).

Genetic Re-Engineering of Corporations, by T. Modis, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 56, No 2, 1998. This article received the journal's Outstanding-Paper-of-the-Year Award, (reproduced entirely here, scan PDF 881 Kb).

La santé sans la médecine, est-ce prévisible? by T. Modis, Médecine & Hygiène, No 2083, 1995, (reproduced entirely here, scan PDF 958 Kb).

Structurer une entreprise selon sa "saison", by T. Modis, Direction et Gestion des Entreprises, 62, No 157, 1996, (reproduced entirely here, scan PDF 1.3 Mb).

Approaching the New Millenium, by T. Modis, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 62, No 2, 1999.

A Second Lease on Life for Technological Forecasting, by T. Modis, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 62, No 1, 1999, (reproduced entirely here).

Limits to Cycles and Harmony in Revolutions, by T. Modis, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 59, No 1, 1998, (reproduced entirely here).

Taking Strategy Cues from Mother Nature, by T. Modis, Handbook of Business Strategy, Faulkner & Gray, New York, 1995, (reproduced entirely here, scan PDF 758 Kb)

Life's Ups and Downs, The Guardian, January 12, 1995, (reproduced entirely here).

Life Cycles - Forecasting the Rise and Fall of Almost Anything, by T. Modis, The Futurist, SepteMber-October 1994, (reproduced entirely here, scan PDF 1 Mb).

Technological Substitutions in the Computer Industry, by T. Modis, Encyclopedia of Microcomputers, volume 28, 1993.

Determination of the Uncertainties in S-curve Logistic Fits, by A. Debecker and T. Modis, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 46, 1994, (reproduced entirely here, scan PDF 721 Kb).

Determining the Service Life Cycle of Computers, by T. Modis and A. Debecker, Diffusion of Technologies & Social Behavior, IIASA, 1991, (reproduced entirely here, scan PDF 755 Kb).

Chaoslike States Can Be Expected Before and After Logistic Growth, by T. Modis and A. Debecker, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 41, 1992, (reproduced entirely here, scan PDF 639 Kb).

Fractal Aspects of Natural Growth, by T. Modis, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 47, 1994, (reproduced entirely here, scan PDF 672 Kb).

Learning from Experience in Positioning New Computer Products, by T. Modis, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 41, 1992.

Innovation in the Computer Industry, by T. Modis and A. Debecker, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 33, 1988, (reproduced entirely here, scan PDF 813 Kb).

Competition and Forecasts for Nobel Prize Awards, by T. Modis, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 34, 1988.

Book Review, Roger M. Cooke, Experts in Uncertainty, Oxford University Press, New York, NY, 1991, by T. Modis, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 44, 1993, (reproduced entirely here).

Book Review, Fred G. Thompson, Looking Back On The Future, Futurescan International Inc., Ottawa, Canada, 1992, 211 pages, (reproduced entirely here), by T. Modis, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 45, 1994.

 
 
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